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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.42+4.97vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.94+5.80vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.91+9.25vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.57+5.06vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.83+3.02vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+0.57vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.76+1.35vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.62+0.90vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.30+1.34vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.12-2.84vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.69-2.23vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-2.89vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University2.01-1.58vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-2.97vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.66-6.27vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.65-3.00vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.74-4.27vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.90-6.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.97Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.8Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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12.25Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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9.06Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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8.02University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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6.57St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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8.35U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.9Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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10.34Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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7.16Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.77Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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11.42North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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11.03U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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8.73University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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13.0Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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12.73Eckerd College1.740.0%1st Place
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11.79George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 11.4% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Rayne Duff | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 12.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% |
| Jordan Bruce | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Leo Boucher | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Gavin McJones | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% |
| Jack Egan | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Bridget Green | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Adam Larson | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% |
| Michael Burns | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Emily Allen | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 19.8% |
| Eden Nykamp | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 17.7% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.