← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Miami2.66+8.01vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.12+5.09vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University1.90+9.16vs Predicted
-
4University of Pennsylvania2.83+4.04vs Predicted
-
5Webb Institute1.91+6.80vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+0.56vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.62+2.00vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University2.69+0.56vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy2.76-0.67vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+1.63vs Predicted
-
11Jacksonville University1.65+1.96vs Predicted
-
12North Carolina State University2.01-0.08vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-4.43vs Predicted
-
14Brown University3.42-8.35vs Predicted
-
15Roger Williams University2.30-4.76vs Predicted
-
16Tulane University2.94-8.26vs Predicted
-
17Boston University2.57-7.72vs Predicted
-
18Eckerd College1.74-5.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.01University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
-
7.09Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
-
12.16George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
-
8.04University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
-
11.8Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
-
6.56St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
-
9.0Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
-
8.56Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
-
8.33U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
-
11.63U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
-
12.96Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
-
11.92North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
-
8.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
-
5.65Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
-
10.24Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
-
7.74Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
-
9.28Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
-
12.46Eckerd College1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Jack Egan | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Wood | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 11.0% |
| Jordan Bruce | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% |
| Rayne Duff | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 13.6% |
| Leo Boucher | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Bridget Green | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Gavin McJones | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Michael Burns | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% |
| Emily Allen | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 19.5% |
| Adam Larson | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 12.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Connor Nelson | 13.1% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Cameron Giblin | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Eden Nykamp | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.