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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.33+5.56vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+7.22vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.83+5.54vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.10+3.21vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.12+2.11vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.90+6.28vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.91+5.26vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.66+1.02vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.69-0.09vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-2.96vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.76-2.21vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University2.17-0.46vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.62-3.89vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.94-6.41vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University2.01-3.19vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-4.25vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.57-7.46vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.74-5.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.56Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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8.54University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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7.21Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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7.11Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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12.28George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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12.26Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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9.02University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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8.91Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.04St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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8.79U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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11.54Jacksonville University2.170.0%1st Place
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9.11Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.59Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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11.81North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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11.75U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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9.54Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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12.74Eckerd College1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guthrie Braun | 9.4% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jack Egan | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Wood | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 15.7% |
| Rayne Duff | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 13.8% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Bridget Green | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Leo Boucher | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Gavin McJones | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% |
| Owen Bannasch | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| Cameron Giblin | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Adam Larson | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 11.1% |
| Michael Burns | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 11.6% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% |
| Eden Nykamp | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.