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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.76+7.89vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+7.22vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University2.01+9.03vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.94+3.82vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+1.75vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.12+1.18vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.91+5.26vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.66+1.02vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.62+0.24vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.90+2.49vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.83-2.47vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+0.04vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.10-5.88vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.33-7.92vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.74-2.20vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.69-6.96vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.57-7.44vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University2.17-7.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.89U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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12.03North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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7.82Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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6.75St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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7.18Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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12.26Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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9.02University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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9.24Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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12.49George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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8.53University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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12.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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7.12Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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6.08Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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12.8Eckerd College1.740.0%1st Place
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9.04Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.56Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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10.95Jacksonville University2.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin McJones | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Adam Larson | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.4% |
| Cameron Giblin | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Leo Boucher | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Jack Egan | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Rayne Duff | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 13.6% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% |
| Tyler Wood | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 15.9% |
| Jordan Bruce | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Michael Burns | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 13.4% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Guthrie Braun | 11.6% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Eden Nykamp | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 19.1% |
| Bridget Green | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Owen Bannasch | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.