← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Webb Institute1.91+10.85vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.62+7.02vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.12+3.94vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+2.25vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.42+0.63vs Predicted
-
6University of Miami2.66+2.56vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University2.69+1.47vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University1.90+3.63vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-0.59vs Predicted
-
10North Carolina State University2.01+1.60vs Predicted
-
11Tulane University2.94-3.42vs Predicted
-
12Boston University2.57-2.69vs Predicted
-
13Eckerd College1.74-0.75vs Predicted
-
14Jacksonville University1.65-1.59vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Naval Academy2.35-5.19vs Predicted
-
16University of Pennsylvania2.03-4.63vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.64-4.10vs Predicted
-
18Roger Williams University3.00-10.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.85Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
-
9.02Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
-
6.94Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
-
6.25St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
-
5.63Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
-
8.56University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
-
8.47Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
-
11.63George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
-
8.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
-
11.6North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
-
7.58Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
-
9.31Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
-
12.25Eckerd College1.740.0%1st Place
-
12.41Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
-
9.81U. S. Naval Academy2.350.0%1st Place
-
11.37University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
-
12.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.640.0%1st Place
-
7.02Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 11.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Jack Egan | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Leo Boucher | 10.6% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 13.4% | 14.5% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.6% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Bridget Green | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% |
| Tyler Wood | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Adam Larson | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% |
| Cameron Giblin | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Eden Nykamp | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 13.6% |
| Emily Allen | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 15.5% |
| Cooper Walshe | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% |
| Thomas Green | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 17.8% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.