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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+6.03vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.94+5.61vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.62+6.01vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.57+4.84vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+3.44vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.91+5.76vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.66+1.62vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.42-2.43vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.35+0.89vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.64+2.93vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.00-3.65vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.03-0.44vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University2.01-1.83vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University1.65-1.62vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.74-2.65vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-9.56vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.90-5.14vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.69-9.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.03Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.61Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.01Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.84Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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8.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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11.76Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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5.57Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.89U. S. Naval Academy2.350.0%1st Place
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12.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.640.0%1st Place
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7.35Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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11.56University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
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11.17North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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12.38Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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12.35Eckerd College1.740.0%1st Place
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6.44St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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11.86George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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8.2Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Rayne Duff | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.8% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Connor Nelson | 13.6% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Walshe | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Thomas Green | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 18.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% |
| Adam Larson | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% |
| Emily Allen | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 15.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 14.6% |
| Leo Boucher | 10.1% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Wood | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.9% |
| Bridget Green | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.