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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+7.61vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+4.85vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.42+2.78vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+2.24vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.62+3.66vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.94+1.40vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.00+0.15vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.69+0.23vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.90+2.64vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.18+0.76vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.91+0.71vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University2.01-0.43vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.66-4.66vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.74-2.04vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.64-2.40vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.76-7.84vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University1.65-4.26vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.60-5.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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6.85Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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5.78Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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8.66Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.4Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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7.15Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.23Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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11.64George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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10.76University of Pennsylvania2.180.0%1st Place
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11.71Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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11.57North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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8.34University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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11.96Eckerd College1.740.0%1st Place
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12.6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.640.0%1st Place
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8.16U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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12.74Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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12.6Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Jack Egan | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.3% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Leo Boucher | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Cameron Giblin | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Green | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| Tyler Wood | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.8% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% |
| Rayne Duff | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.6% |
| Adam Larson | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.8% |
| Thomas Green | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 16.5% |
| Gavin McJones | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Emily Allen | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 16.8% |
| Porter Bell | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.