← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.62+7.61vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.33+3.71vs Predicted
-
3University of Miami2.66+5.37vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.43+1.22vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.64+7.21vs Predicted
-
6Tulane University2.94+1.04vs Predicted
-
7Boston University2.57+1.52vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University3.00-1.29vs Predicted
-
9North Carolina State University1.54+3.76vs Predicted
-
10Webb Institute1.91+1.56vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+1.08vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy2.35-2.19vs Predicted
-
13Cornell University2.69-5.11vs Predicted
-
14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.03-3.57vs Predicted
-
15Eckerd College1.74-3.06vs Predicted
-
16George Washington University1.90-4.67vs Predicted
-
17Jacksonville University2.17-6.63vs Predicted
-
18University of Pennsylvania2.06-7.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.61Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
-
5.71Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
-
8.37University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
-
5.22Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
-
12.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.640.0%1st Place
-
7.04Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
-
8.52Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
-
6.71Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
-
12.76North Carolina State University1.540.0%1st Place
-
11.56Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
-
12.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
-
9.81U. S. Naval Academy2.350.0%1st Place
-
7.89Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
-
10.43St. Mary's College of Maryland2.030.0%1st Place
-
11.94Eckerd College1.740.0%1st Place
-
11.33George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
-
10.37Jacksonville University2.170.0%1st Place
-
10.44University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Davis | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 15.0% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Green | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 16.0% |
| Cameron Giblin | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Usher | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 16.6% |
| Rayne Duff | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 14.5% |
| Cooper Walshe | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Bridget Green | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Felix Cutler | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% |
| Eden Nykamp | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.6% |
| Tyler Wood | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% |
| Owen Bannasch | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 4.3% |
| Sofia Segalla | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.