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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.75+6.37vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.43+6.68vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+3.47vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.22+5.30vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.43+3.45vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.50+2.21vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.55+0.95vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.07+1.90vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+2.90vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.17+3.76vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.70+0.69vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-4.10vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.35-4.35vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.27-5.17vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82-3.97vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.70-8.58vs Predicted
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17Webb Institute1.69-5.28vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University1.61-6.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.68Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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6.47St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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9.3Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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8.45Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.21Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.95U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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9.9Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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11.9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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13.76North Carolina State University1.170.0%1st Place
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11.69Eckerd College1.700.0%1st Place
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7.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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8.65University of Pennsylvania2.350.1%1st Place
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8.83University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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11.03U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.0%1st Place
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7.42Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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11.72Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
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11.76Jacksonville University1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Meredith Moran | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Jed Bell | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Cameron Wood | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Jack Welburn | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Micky Munns | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.7% |
| Harrison Bailey | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 27.5% |
| matthew Monts | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 11.8% |
| Dana Haig | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Javier Garcon | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| William Weinbecker | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Payne Donaldson | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 10.9% |
| Patrick Igoe | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.