← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University2.07+9.25vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+5.86vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+3.51vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+7.74vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.50+3.18vs Predicted
-
6University of Miami2.27+3.28vs Predicted
-
7Yale University3.29-1.77vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania2.09+1.85vs Predicted
-
9Webb Institute1.69+2.64vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82+1.35vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University2.43-2.32vs Predicted
-
12Jacksonville University1.61+0.28vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Naval Academy2.55-5.14vs Predicted
-
14Brown University2.22-4.88vs Predicted
-
15Eckerd College1.70-3.48vs Predicted
-
16North Carolina State University1.17-2.33vs Predicted
-
17Tulane University2.70-9.37vs Predicted
-
18Cornell University2.43-9.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.25Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
-
7.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
-
6.51St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
-
11.74St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
-
8.18Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
-
9.28University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
-
5.23Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
-
9.85University of Pennsylvania2.090.0%1st Place
-
11.64Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
-
11.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.0%1st Place
-
8.68Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
-
12.28Jacksonville University1.610.0%1st Place
-
7.86U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
-
9.12Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
-
11.52Eckerd College1.700.0%1st Place
-
13.67North Carolina State University1.170.0%1st Place
-
7.63Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
-
8.36Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micky Munns | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% |
| Dana Haig | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 12.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Stephan Baker | 14.4% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Gavula | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% |
| Payne Donaldson | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% |
| William Weinbecker | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Patrick Igoe | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 14.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Jed Bell | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| matthew Monts | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% |
| Harrison Bailey | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 13.5% | 27.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 9.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% |
| Meredith Moran | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.