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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.43+6.30vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.43+5.38vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.70+3.45vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.29+0.59vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82+4.68vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.09+2.98vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.36+0.74vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.77+1.87vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.50-1.66vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-2.74vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.24+1.04vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-4.14vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.07-4.00vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.86-4.20vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College0.48-0.87vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.39-4.48vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy1.24-4.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.3Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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7.38Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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6.45Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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4.59Yale University3.290.2%1st Place
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9.68U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.0%1st Place
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8.98University of Pennsylvania2.090.0%1st Place
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7.74Brown University2.360.1%1st Place
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9.87Webb Institute1.770.1%1st Place
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7.34Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.26St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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12.04Jacksonville University1.240.0%1st Place
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7.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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9.0Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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9.8University of Miami1.860.0%1st Place
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14.13Eckerd College0.480.0%1st Place
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11.52George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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12.06U. S. Naval Academy1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Mueller | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Meredith Moran | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Stephan Baker | 17.4% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Weinbecker | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
| Samuel Gavula | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Calvin Schmid | 5.3% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 4.3% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Charlie Anderson | 7.3% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Brent Penwarden | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 14.8% |
| Maks Groom | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Micky Munns | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Steven Hardee | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
| Carter Morin | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 42.3% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 2.5% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 9.5% |
| Colin MacGillivray | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.