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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.23+6.17vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.82+6.79vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.80+5.93vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.81+4.55vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.46+5.10vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.99+1.86vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+2.33vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.06-0.50vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan1.07+6.07vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.18+1.52vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-1.34vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.53-1.74vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.50-3.18vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.75-1.43vs Predicted
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15Florida State University2.38-4.57vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.54-10.17vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara2.34-6.20vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University3.22-11.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.17University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.79Dartmouth College2.820.0%1st Place
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8.93College of Charleston2.800.1%1st Place
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8.55Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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10.1Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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7.86Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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7.5SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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15.07University of Michigan1.070.0%1st Place
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11.52Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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9.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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10.26Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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9.82Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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12.57University of Wisconsin1.750.0%1st Place
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10.43Florida State University2.380.0%1st Place
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5.83Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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10.8University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
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6.79Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| William Michels | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Brandon Geller | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Walter Henry | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Will Murray | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Joe Serpa | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 45.3% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 7.8% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 3.6% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
| Reed Weston | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 15.8% | 14.8% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 3.9% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kayda | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 4.7% |
| Mariner Fagan | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.