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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.81+7.86vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+8.86vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.22+4.16vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.50+5.83vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.06+2.56vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.54-0.24vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.80+1.71vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.99-0.19vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.23-2.14vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.46+0.44vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.53-1.05vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.82-3.08vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-3.77vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-4.78vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.75-2.07vs Predicted
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16Florida State University2.38-5.47vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.18-5.57vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.07-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.86Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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10.86University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
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7.16Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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9.83Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.56SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.76Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.71College of Charleston2.800.1%1st Place
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7.81Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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6.86University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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10.44Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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9.95Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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8.92Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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9.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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12.93University of Wisconsin1.750.0%1st Place
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10.53Florida State University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.43Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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14.95University of Michigan1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Hall | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Chris Kayda | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.1% |
| Mariner Fagan | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
| Benton Amthor | 7.3% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 12.8% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Geller | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Walter Henry | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
| William Michels | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Will Murray | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% |
| Reed Weston | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 16.6% | 15.8% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 8.4% |
| Joe Serpa | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 42.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.