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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.10+6.71vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.23+5.21vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.53+7.15vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.22+2.97vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+5.59vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.46+4.25vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.18+4.29vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.99-0.09vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.81-0.29vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.82-1.06vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-1.29vs Predicted
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12Florida State University2.38-1.05vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.50-3.15vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-4.90vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.54-9.19vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.75-2.97vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College3.06-9.20vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.07-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.71College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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7.21University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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10.15Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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6.97Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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10.59University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
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10.25Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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11.29Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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7.91Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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8.71Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.94Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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10.95Florida State University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.85Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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5.81Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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13.03University of Wisconsin1.750.0%1st Place
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7.8SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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15.0University of Michigan1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 2.5% |
| Mariner Fagan | 9.1% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Chris Kayda | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% |
| Walter Henry | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.4% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| William Michels | 6.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 5.6% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
| Will Murray | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.0% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Reed Weston | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 15.4% | 17.2% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Joe Serpa | 1.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 14.1% | 43.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.