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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+7.16vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.54+3.93vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.06+4.78vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.22+2.94vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.53+4.80vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.82+2.61vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.80+1.72vs Predicted
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8Florida State University2.38+2.37vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.23-2.15vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.50+0.17vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-1.31vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.81-2.97vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.34-2.52vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.18-3.02vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.46-4.91vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.75-2.96vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.07-1.80vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-8.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.16Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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5.93Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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7.78SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.94Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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9.8Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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8.61Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.72College of Charleston2.800.1%1st Place
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10.37Florida State University2.380.0%1st Place
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6.85University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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10.17Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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9.03Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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10.48University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
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10.98Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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10.09Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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13.04University of Wisconsin1.750.0%1st Place
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15.2University of Michigan1.070.0%1st Place
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9.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Benton Amthor | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Mariner Fagan | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 2.9% |
| William Michels | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Brandon Geller | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.6% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Chris Kayda | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 4.7% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% |
| Walter Henry | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 2.7% |
| Reed Weston | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 17.4% |
| Joe Serpa | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 46.2% |
| Will Murray | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.