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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.82+7.79vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.50+8.20vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.81+5.82vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.54+1.76vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.80+3.68vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.53+3.87vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.23-0.01vs Predicted
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8Florida State University2.38+2.38vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.22-2.11vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.18+1.48vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-1.51vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.34-0.99vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.99-5.22vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-4.75vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.06-7.51vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.07-0.89vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.46-6.74vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.75-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.79Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.2Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.82Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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5.76Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.68College of Charleston2.800.1%1st Place
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9.87Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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6.99University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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10.38Florida State University2.380.0%1st Place
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6.89Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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11.48Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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9.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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11.01University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
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7.78Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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7.49SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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15.11University of Michigan1.070.0%1st Place
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10.26Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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12.75University of Wisconsin1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Michels | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 13.2% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Brandon Geller | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.5% |
| Mariner Fagan | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% |
| Will Murray | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Chris Kayda | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 6.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Benton Amthor | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Joe Serpa | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 43.9% |
| Walter Henry | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Reed Weston | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 16.0% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.