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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.23+6.21vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.81+6.94vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.47+3.21vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.03+3.70vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.99+2.89vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.53+3.91vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.18+4.34vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.22-1.09vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.45+1.20vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.80-1.01vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.06-3.21vs Predicted
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12Florida State University2.38-1.10vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-3.76vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-4.78vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.75-2.10vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.07-0.85vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara2.34-6.20vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.50-8.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.21University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.94Bowdoin College2.810.0%1st Place
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6.21Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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7.7Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.89Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.91Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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11.34Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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6.91Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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10.2Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.99College of Charleston2.800.1%1st Place
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7.79SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.9Florida State University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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9.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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12.9University of Wisconsin1.750.0%1st Place
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15.15University of Michigan1.070.0%1st Place
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10.8University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
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9.71Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.2% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.7% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.0% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 6.3% |
| Mariner Fagan | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Brandon Geller | 6.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Benton Amthor | 7.2% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% |
| Will Murray | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% |
| Reed Weston | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 15.5% | 15.8% |
| Joe Serpa | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 14.5% | 43.9% |
| Chris Kayda | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.2% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.