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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.23+6.21vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.99+6.17vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.22+4.17vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.18+7.16vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+4.34vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.50+4.01vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.47-0.97vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.81+0.65vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.80-0.31vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-0.27vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.03-3.06vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.45-1.42vs Predicted
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13Florida State University2.38-2.70vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.06-6.62vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.34-4.34vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.75-2.90vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.07-1.80vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.53-8.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.21University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.17Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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7.17Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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11.16Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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9.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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10.01Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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6.03Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.65Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.69College of Charleston2.800.1%1st Place
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9.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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7.94Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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10.58Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.3Florida State University2.380.0%1st Place
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7.38SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.66University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
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13.1University of Wisconsin1.750.0%1st Place
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15.2University of Michigan1.070.0%1st Place
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9.69Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Mariner Fagan | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.5% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.3% |
| Will Murray | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 3.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.9% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Brandon Geller | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 4.3% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 4.1% |
| Benton Amthor | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Chris Kayda | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% |
| Reed Weston | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 17.8% |
| Joe Serpa | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 14.5% | 45.3% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.