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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.03+7.06vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.10+5.73vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.50+7.34vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.23+3.00vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan1.07+9.98vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.47+0.10vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.81+1.77vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.53+1.90vs Predicted
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9Florida State University2.38+1.57vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.06-2.00vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-1.26vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.22-4.62vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.46-2.91vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.75-1.27vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.34-4.29vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-6.47vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.99-8.85vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.18-6.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.06Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.73College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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10.34Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.0University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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14.98University of Michigan1.070.0%1st Place
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6.1Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.77Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.9Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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10.57Florida State University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.0SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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7.38Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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10.09Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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12.73University of Wisconsin1.750.0%1st Place
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10.71University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
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9.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.0%1st Place
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8.15Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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11.2Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% |
| Joe Serpa | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 45.3% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 3.4% |
| Benton Amthor | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Mariner Fagan | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Walter Henry | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Reed Weston | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 16.9% |
| Chris Kayda | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.5% |
| Will Murray | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 2.2% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.