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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.47+5.47vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.50+8.41vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.23+4.38vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.22+3.08vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.91+3.45vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.81+2.88vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.03+0.94vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.10-0.40vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+1.84vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-0.11vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-1.27vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.18-0.17vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College3.06-5.25vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.75-1.16vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.46-4.68vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.07-0.75vs Predicted
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17Florida State University2.38-6.11vs Predicted
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18Stanford University3.11-10.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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10.41Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.38University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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7.08Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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8.45Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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8.88Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.94Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.6College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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10.84University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
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9.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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9.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.0%1st Place
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11.83Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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7.75SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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12.84University of Wisconsin1.750.0%1st Place
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10.32Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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15.25University of Michigan1.070.0%1st Place
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10.89Florida State University2.380.0%1st Place
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7.45Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 9.5% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Mariner Fagan | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Chris Kayda | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 2.7% |
| Will Murray | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 9.7% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Reed Weston | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 17.4% | 16.2% |
| Walter Henry | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 3.7% |
| Joe Serpa | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 14.1% | 45.4% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 5.4% |
| Hannah Freeman | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.