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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.58+9.28vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+6.32vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.40+3.26vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.30+6.19vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.79+3.27vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.44+4.33vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.48-0.94vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.68-3.08vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.28-2.39vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-2.17vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.99-2.75vs Predicted
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12Florida State University0.37+1.48vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62-3.86vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.30-5.21vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.07-3.78vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.52-1.25vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College0.85-6.00vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan-0.26-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.28University of Pennsylvania1.583.5%1st Place
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8.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.135.6%1st Place
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6.26Roger Williams University2.4010.7%1st Place
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10.19University of Rhode Island1.304.2%1st Place
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8.27Cornell University1.795.8%1st Place
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10.33George Washington University1.443.8%1st Place
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6.06Harvard University2.489.7%1st Place
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4.92Tulane University2.6815.6%1st Place
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6.61U. S. Naval Academy2.288.8%1st Place
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7.83St. Mary's College of Maryland2.056.6%1st Place
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8.25Brown University1.996.3%1st Place
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13.48Florida State University0.371.4%1st Place
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9.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.624.7%1st Place
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8.79Webb Institute1.305.9%1st Place
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11.22Northeastern University1.072.6%1st Place
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14.75Connecticut College0.521.0%1st Place
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11.0Eckerd College0.853.4%1st Place
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15.32University of Michigan-0.260.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Woodworth | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| JJ Klempen | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christian Ebbin | 15.6% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Anderson | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 18.8% | 13.8% |
| William Kulas | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Everett Botwinick | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 3.7% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 20.2% | 30.6% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 3.9% |
| Jack Hammett | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 10.8% | 18.9% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.