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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.97+0.45vs Predicted
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2Amherst College-0.35+0.85vs Predicted
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3Williams College-0.90+0.73vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52-0.89vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-1.26-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.45Boston University0.9765.5%1st Place
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2.85Amherst College-0.3512.9%1st Place
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3.73Williams College-0.905.8%1st Place
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3.11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.5210.8%1st Place
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3.85University of Connecticut-1.265.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 65.5% | 25.1% | 8.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Nat Edmonds | 12.9% | 27.9% | 29.5% | 20.4% | 9.3% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 5.8% | 13.4% | 18.2% | 27.7% | 35.0% |
| Marshall Rodes | 10.8% | 22.5% | 26.2% | 25.6% | 14.8% |
| Priscilla Sawyer | 5.1% | 11.2% | 18.1% | 25.0% | 40.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.