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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.07+5.65vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.90+9.39vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.65+5.35vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.39+1.34vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+2.65vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.35+3.33vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.23-1.03vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.25+5.39vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.34+0.37vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.35-0.45vs Predicted
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11Florida State University1.97-0.11vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.13-1.46vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.93-2.15vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.93-7.26vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.82-7.67vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-6.78vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara1.42-3.98vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.53-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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11.39Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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8.35Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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5.34Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.33College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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5.97Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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13.39University of Wisconsin1.250.0%1st Place
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9.37University of Rhode Island2.340.0%1st Place
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9.55SUNY Maritime College2.350.1%1st Place
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10.89Florida State University1.970.0%1st Place
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10.54Harvard University2.130.0%1st Place
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10.85Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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6.74Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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7.33Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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13.02University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.0%1st Place
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15.41University of Michigan0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Dolan | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 3.5% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 14.0% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Herrick | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 17.4% | 18.6% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Spencer Barnes | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Joey Meagher | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 3.8% |
| Eric Hansen | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 2.9% |
| Parker Purrington | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 4.0% |
| Scott Mais | 8.4% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Ted McDonough | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 14.0% | 15.7% | 13.2% |
| Brody Schwartz | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 16.5% | 45.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.