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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.07+5.52vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+5.64vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.65+5.08vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+4.74vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.64-0.54vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.93+0.83vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.23-1.20vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.35+0.96vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.24+4.23vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.90+1.09vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.35-1.80vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.77-4.26vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.34-4.03vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan0.10+1.98vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.85-4.05vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.11-2.29vs Predicted
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17Florida State University1.97-6.34vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara1.42-5.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.52Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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7.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.08Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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8.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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4.46Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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6.83Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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5.8Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.96SUNY Maritime College2.350.0%1st Place
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13.23Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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11.09Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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9.2College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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7.74Stanford University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.97University of Rhode Island2.340.1%1st Place
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15.98University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
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10.95Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
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13.71University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
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10.66Florida State University1.970.0%1st Place
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12.44University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Justin Callahan | 19.5% | 16.1% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Mais | 8.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.8% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Barnes | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Diogo Silva | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 11.4% |
| Patrick Dolan | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 3.6% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Justin Lim | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 14.0% | 53.9% |
| Harris Padegs | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 2.1% |
| Abe Weston | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 20.9% | 14.8% |
| Joey Meagher | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 2.7% |
| Ted McDonough | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.