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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+6.71vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.65+6.10vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.23+2.93vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.64+0.52vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.93+1.82vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.35+3.07vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.90+3.80vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.77-0.63vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.35+0.06vs Predicted
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10Florida State University1.97+0.80vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.34-1.77vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.24+1.48vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.07-6.79vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-5.38vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara1.42-2.51vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.10+0.13vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.85-5.82vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.11-4.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.1Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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5.93Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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4.52Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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6.82Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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9.07SUNY Maritime College2.350.0%1st Place
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10.8Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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7.37Stanford University2.770.1%1st Place
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9.06College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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10.8Florida State University1.970.0%1st Place
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9.23University of Rhode Island2.340.1%1st Place
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13.48Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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6.21Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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12.49University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.0%1st Place
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16.13University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
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11.18Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
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13.46University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 17.7% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Mais | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Barnes | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Patrick Dolan | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 2.3% |
| Justin Lim | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Joey Meagher | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 2.5% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 19.0% | 14.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Ted McDonough | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 7.4% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 15.7% | 54.6% |
| Harris Padegs | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 3.8% |
| Abe Weston | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 19.5% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.