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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+7.89vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.90+8.87vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.34+6.13vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.45+4.29vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.07+1.11vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.35+2.75vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan0.53+8.01vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.35+0.80vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.24+3.99vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.23-4.18vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-3.67vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.64-7.41vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.77-5.95vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.42-1.91vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.65-7.36vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.25-2.98vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.73-2.37vs Predicted
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18Florida State University1.97-7.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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10.87Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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9.13University of Rhode Island2.340.0%1st Place
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8.29Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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6.11Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.75SUNY Maritime College2.350.0%1st Place
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15.01University of Michigan0.530.0%1st Place
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8.8College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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12.99Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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5.82Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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4.59Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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7.05Stanford University2.770.1%1st Place
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12.09University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.0%1st Place
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7.64Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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13.02University of Wisconsin1.250.0%1st Place
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14.63Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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10.02Florida State University1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Dolan | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Enzo Menditto | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Barnes | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Brody Schwartz | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 11.7% | 19.2% | 34.5% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Diogo Silva | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 11.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.3% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 17.6% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Lim | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Ted McDonough | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 7.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Charlie Herrick | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 11.9% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 17.9% | 28.3% |
| Joey Meagher | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.