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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.97+0.51vs Predicted
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2University of Connecticut-1.26+1.81vs Predicted
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3Williams College-0.90+0.70vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52-0.91vs Predicted
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5Amherst College-0.35-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.51Boston University0.9762.6%1st Place
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3.81University of Connecticut-1.266.0%1st Place
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3.7Williams College-0.906.5%1st Place
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3.09University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.5211.8%1st Place
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2.89Amherst College-0.3513.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 62.6% | 26.2% | 9.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Priscilla Sawyer | 6.0% | 11.1% | 18.3% | 24.6% | 40.0% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 6.5% | 12.2% | 19.6% | 28.0% | 33.8% |
| Marshall Rodes | 11.8% | 22.4% | 26.2% | 24.4% | 15.2% |
| Nat Edmonds | 13.0% | 28.1% | 26.8% | 21.1% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.