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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.54+6.29vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.66+9.16vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.47+4.53vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.83+5.96vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.12+3.74vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.99+3.39vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.91+2.74vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.50+3.43vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.23-0.73vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+1.24vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.42-3.34vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.22-3.27vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.62-2.13vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-3.59vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-6.69vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.94-6.31vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.81-6.65vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.76-7.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.29Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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11.16University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
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7.53Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.96University of Pennsylvania2.830.0%1st Place
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8.74Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.39Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.74Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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11.43Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.27University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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11.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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7.66Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.73Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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10.87Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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10.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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8.31St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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9.69Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
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10.35Bowdoin College2.810.0%1st Place
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10.24U. S. Naval Academy2.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Atlee Kohl | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% |
| Jack Egan | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 13.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 11.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Mariner Fagan | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Cameron Giblin | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% |
| Gavin McJones | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.