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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.47+6.53vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.94+7.86vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.12+6.04vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+4.25vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.54+1.99vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.22+2.38vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+3.73vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.83+1.98vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.91+0.71vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.99-0.33vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.66-0.03vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.76-1.19vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-2.20vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.23-5.95vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.62-4.03vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.50-4.46vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.42-9.28vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.81-8.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.53Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.86Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
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9.04Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.25St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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6.99Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.38Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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10.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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9.98University of Pennsylvania2.830.0%1st Place
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9.71Boston College2.910.0%1st Place
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9.67Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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10.97University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
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10.81U. S. Naval Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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10.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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8.05University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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10.97Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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11.54Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.72Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.99Bowdoin College2.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Cameron Giblin | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% |
| Jack Egan | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Mariner Fagan | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% |
| Gavin McJones | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 14.3% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.