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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+8.51vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+8.97vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.94+6.77vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.22+4.25vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.12+3.67vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.54+0.98vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+1.31vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.50+3.30vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.47-1.83vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.49+1.74vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.23-2.58vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.91-1.98vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.83-3.16vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.42-6.83vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.62-4.11vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.66-5.15vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-5.97vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.76-7.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.51Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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10.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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9.77Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
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8.25Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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8.67Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.98Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.31St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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11.3Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.17Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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11.74Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.42University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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10.02Boston College2.910.0%1st Place
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9.84University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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7.17Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.89Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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10.85University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
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11.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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10.11U. S. Naval Academy2.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% |
| Cameron Giblin | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% |
| Mariner Fagan | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| Jack Egan | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.5% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 12.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% |
| Atlee Kohl | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% |
| Gavin McJones | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.