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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.22+7.53vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+9.14vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.99+6.52vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.54+2.90vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.12+3.69vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.42+1.39vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.83+3.02vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.47-0.81vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.23-0.76vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.66+1.03vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.49+0.61vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.50-0.15vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.94-3.61vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-3.64vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.91-5.41vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-7.61vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.62-5.93vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.76-7.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.53Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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11.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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9.52Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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6.9Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.69Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.39Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.02University of Pennsylvania2.830.0%1st Place
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7.19Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.24University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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11.03University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
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11.61Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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11.85Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.39Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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10.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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9.59Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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8.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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11.07Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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10.1U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariner Fagan | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Jack Egan | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 13.8% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 14.6% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% |
| Gavin McJones | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.