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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.47+6.27vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+8.70vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.99+6.33vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.66+6.42vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.22+3.13vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.62+4.74vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.54-0.24vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.12+0.48vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.49+2.33vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.94-0.38vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.50+0.33vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-0.89vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.23-5.01vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.53-3.28vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.83-5.25vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.42-8.66vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-8.68vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.35-6.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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10.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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9.33Stanford University2.990.0%1st Place
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10.42University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
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8.13Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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10.74Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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6.76Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.48Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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11.33Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.62Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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11.33Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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7.99University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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10.72Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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9.75University of Pennsylvania2.830.0%1st Place
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7.34Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.32St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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11.67U. S. Naval Academy2.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Atlee Kohl | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% |
| Mariner Fagan | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.4% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Jack Egan | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.4% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 11.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 9.9% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Cooper Walshe | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.