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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.47+6.36vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.42+5.47vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.99+6.38vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.53+6.97vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.54+1.77vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.83+3.84vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.94+2.33vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.23-0.02vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.12-0.51vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.62+0.98vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.22-2.72vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-1.16vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.49-1.83vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.35-2.50vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.50-3.80vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-7.84vs Predicted
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17University of Miami2.66-6.24vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-7.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.36Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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7.47Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.38Stanford University2.990.0%1st Place
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10.97Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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6.77Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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9.84University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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9.33Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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7.98University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.49Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.98Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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8.28Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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10.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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11.17Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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11.5U. S. Naval Academy2.350.0%1st Place
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11.2Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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10.76University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
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10.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Michael Kirkman | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 10.3% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.7% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% |
| Jack Egan | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% |
| Mariner Fagan | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.6% |
| Cooper Walshe | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 12.6% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.4% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.