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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.54+6.11vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+9.16vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.53+8.49vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.42+3.30vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.22+3.18vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.23+2.12vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.49+4.38vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.99+1.10vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.83+0.88vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.62+1.12vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.66-0.23vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-1.07vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-4.93vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.50-3.00vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.12-6.38vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.76-5.69vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.94-7.47vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.47-11.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.11Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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11.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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11.49Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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7.3Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.18Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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8.12University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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11.38Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.1Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.88University of Pennsylvania2.830.0%1st Place
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11.12Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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10.77University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
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10.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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8.07St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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11.0Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.62Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.31U. S. Naval Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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9.53Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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6.94Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% |
| Michael Kirkman | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.3% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Mariner Fagan | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.7% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 10.9% |
| Leo Boucher | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.3% |
| Jack Egan | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Gavin McJones | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.7% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.