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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+8.43vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.22+6.40vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.42+4.59vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.54+2.83vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.23+3.20vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.12+2.61vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.49+4.41vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+2.75vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.62+1.84vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.94-0.30vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.50+0.39vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.53-0.43vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.47-5.94vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.83-4.37vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-6.84vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-5.34vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.76-6.69vs Predicted
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18University of Miami2.66-7.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.43Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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8.4Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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7.59Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.83Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.2University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.61Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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11.41Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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10.84Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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9.7Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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11.39Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.57Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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7.06Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.63University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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8.16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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10.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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10.31U. S. Naval Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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10.48University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.7% |
| Mariner Fagan | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% |
| Jack Egan | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.4% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 13.9% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% |
| Gavin McJones | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.