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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+10.05vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.99+7.44vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.12+5.92vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.22+4.12vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.62+5.70vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+2.15vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.50+4.36vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.47-0.92vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.83+0.90vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.66+0.91vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.23-2.63vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.49-0.23vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.42-5.74vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.53-3.09vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.94-5.63vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.54-9.05vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-6.30vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.76-7.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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9.44Stanford University2.990.0%1st Place
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8.92Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.12Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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10.7Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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8.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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11.36Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.08Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.9University of Pennsylvania2.830.0%1st Place
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10.91University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
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8.37University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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11.77Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.26Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.91Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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9.37Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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6.95Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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10.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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10.02U. S. Naval Academy2.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Unangst | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 11.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Jack Egan | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% |
| Mariner Fagan | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 11.5% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 13.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Michael Kirkman | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.4% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% |
| Gavin McJones | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.