← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.75+8.91vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+7.87vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.23+4.89vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University3.39+2.91vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University1.90+7.95vs Predicted
-
6University of Miami2.27+5.75vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.40-0.06vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.59vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+1.17vs Predicted
-
10Tulane University2.70+0.14vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University2.93-1.95vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy2.99-2.95vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College2.65-3.03vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island2.34-2.87vs Predicted
-
15Boston College3.07-6.76vs Predicted
-
16Harvard University3.64-9.94vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University2.43-5.76vs Predicted
-
18University of Pennsylvania2.35-6.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.91Yale University2.750.0%1st Place
-
9.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
-
7.89Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
6.91Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
-
12.95Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
-
11.75University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
-
6.94Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
-
8.59St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
-
10.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.0%1st Place
-
10.14Tulane University2.700.0%1st Place
-
9.05Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
-
9.05U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
-
9.97Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
-
11.13University of Rhode Island2.340.0%1st Place
-
8.24Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
-
6.06Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
-
11.24Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
-
11.16University of Pennsylvania2.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.3% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Patrick Dolan | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 24.4% |
| Aidan Dennis | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 13.6% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Dana Haig | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.8% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% |
| Scott Mais | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Justin Callahan | 10.9% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.5% |
| Javier Garcon | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.