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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.97+0.54vs Predicted
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2Williams College-0.90+2.05vs Predicted
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3Amherst College-0.35+0.07vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University-1.75+0.77vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52-1.62vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-1.26-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.54Boston University0.9761.5%1st Place
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4.05Williams College-0.906.6%1st Place
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3.07Amherst College-0.3513.9%1st Place
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4.77Wesleyan University-1.753.4%1st Place
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3.38University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.529.4%1st Place
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4.19University of Connecticut-1.265.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 61.5% | 26.4% | 9.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 6.6% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 20.0% | 26.2% | 19.2% |
| Nat Edmonds | 13.9% | 23.2% | 26.2% | 19.8% | 12.5% | 4.3% |
| Thomas Broadus | 3.4% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 21.9% | 44.5% |
| Marshall Rodes | 9.4% | 20.2% | 24.0% | 23.2% | 15.6% | 7.6% |
| Priscilla Sawyer | 5.2% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 22.0% | 23.5% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.