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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+6.87vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.75+7.91vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.40+4.17vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+5.51vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.70+4.84vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.640.00vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.93+1.89vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.99+0.58vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.39-2.06vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+0.47vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.90+2.21vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.34-0.13vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.43-2.09vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.27-2.65vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-6.40vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.65-5.80vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.07-8.52vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.35-6.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.87Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.91Yale University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.17Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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9.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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9.84Tulane University2.700.0%1st Place
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6.0Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.89Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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8.58U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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6.94Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.0%1st Place
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13.21Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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11.87University of Rhode Island2.340.0%1st Place
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10.91Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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11.35University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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8.6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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10.2Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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8.48Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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11.22University of Pennsylvania2.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Carmen Cowles | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% |
| Justin Callahan | 11.9% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Scott Mais | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Dana Haig | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% |
| Patrick Dolan | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 24.6% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 12.7% |
| Ben Mueller | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 11.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Javier Garcon | 3.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.