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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.40+6.17vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.43+9.28vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.75+6.85vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.39+2.89vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.93+3.80vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.64-0.03vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.65+3.02vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.34+3.32vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-0.44vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.23-2.17vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.70-1.00vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.09+0.71vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.99-4.55vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.90-1.30vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.07-6.84vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-6.37vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-6.77vs Predicted
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18University of Miami2.27-6.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.17Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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11.28Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.85Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.89Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.8Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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5.97Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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10.02Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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11.32University of Rhode Island2.340.0%1st Place
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8.56St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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7.83Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.0Tulane University2.700.0%1st Place
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12.71University of Pennsylvania2.090.0%1st Place
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8.45U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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12.7Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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8.16Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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10.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.0%1st Place
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11.44University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam O'Keefe | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Ben Mueller | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Scott Mais | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| Justin Callahan | 11.5% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 4.1% |
| Samuel Gavula | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 19.8% |
| Nathan Smith | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Patrick Dolan | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 21.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% |
| Dana Haig | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.