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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+6.02vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.64+3.92vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.70+6.90vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.65+5.78vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.43+5.67vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.40+0.72vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.34+4.17vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+1.81vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.75+0.41vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.93-1.09vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.27+0.61vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-2.24vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.90-0.36vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.99-5.85vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.09-2.87vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.23-8.56vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.25-5.33vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-9.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.02Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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5.92Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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9.9Tulane University2.700.0%1st Place
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9.78Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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10.67Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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6.72Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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11.17University of Rhode Island2.340.0%1st Place
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9.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.0%1st Place
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9.41Yale University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.91Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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11.61University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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9.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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12.64Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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8.15U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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12.13University of Pennsylvania2.090.0%1st Place
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7.44Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.67Boston College2.250.0%1st Place
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8.29St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Justin Callahan | 11.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% |
| Dana Haig | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Carmen Cowles | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% |
| Scott Mais | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 11.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% |
| Patrick Dolan | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 19.1% |
| Nathan Smith | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Samuel Gavula | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 14.5% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Jack Redmond | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.