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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.65+9.09vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+7.66vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.64+3.07vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.07+4.05vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.23+2.46vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.39+0.88vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.75+2.49vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.43+2.78vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.90+3.95vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.40-2.91vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.93-2.16vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-1.64vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.70-3.46vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-5.76vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.09-2.79vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.99-7.41vs Predicted
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17University of Miami2.27-5.32vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.83-4.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.09Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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9.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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6.07Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.05Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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7.46Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.88Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.49Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.78Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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12.95Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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7.09Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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8.84Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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10.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.0%1st Place
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9.54Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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8.24St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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12.21University of Pennsylvania2.090.0%1st Place
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8.59U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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11.68University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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13.02University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Lukens | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Justin Callahan | 9.9% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.9% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% |
| Patrick Dolan | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 18.2% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Scott Mais | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Dana Haig | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% |
| Samuel Gavula | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 14.8% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.5% |
| Jonathan Riley | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.