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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.40+6.07vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.07+6.36vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.93+5.96vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.75+5.41vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.70+4.63vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.43+4.92vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+2.96vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.90+4.82vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.23-1.59vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.64-3.92vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-1.40vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.39-4.73vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.83+0.02vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-5.75vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.27-3.48vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.65-6.00vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.09-4.58vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.99-9.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.07Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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8.36Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.96Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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9.41Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.63Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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10.92Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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12.82Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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7.41Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.08Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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9.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.27Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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13.02University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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8.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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11.52University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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10.0Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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12.42University of Pennsylvania2.090.0%1st Place
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8.3U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam O'Keefe | 8.4% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Scott Mais | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% |
| Ben Mueller | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% |
| Dana Haig | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
| Patrick Dolan | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 19.4% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Justin Callahan | 12.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 2.7% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Jonathan Riley | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 22.2% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% |
| Samuel Gavula | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 16.2% |
| Nathan Smith | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.