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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+8.55vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.64+3.90vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.43+8.04vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+5.80vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.93+3.57vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.90+6.85vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.23+0.45vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.07-0.05vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.70+0.58vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.65+0.13vs Predicted
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11University of Miami1.86+2.11vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.39-4.82vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.75-3.74vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.40-7.44vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-6.57vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.99-7.57vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.09-4.75vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.83-5.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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5.9Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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11.04Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.0%1st Place
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8.57Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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12.85Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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7.45Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.95Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.58Tulane University2.700.0%1st Place
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10.13Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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13.11University of Miami1.860.0%1st Place
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7.18Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.26Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.56Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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8.43St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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8.43U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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12.25University of Pennsylvania2.090.0%1st Place
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12.95University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Justin Callahan | 10.6% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 5.5% |
| Dana Haig | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% |
| Scott Mais | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Patrick Dolan | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 18.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% |
| Steven Hardee | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 21.6% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 9.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Nathan Smith | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Samuel Gavula | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 13.4% |
| Jonathan Riley | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.