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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-1.07+2.12vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-2.05+3.02vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.97+0.01vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-2.02+0.98vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.70-0.66vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-2.32-0.53vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-2.60-1.03vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.64-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12University of California at San Diego-1.070.2%1st Place
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5.02University of California at San Diego-2.050.1%1st Place
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3.01University of California at San Diego-0.970.3%1st Place
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4.98University of California at San Diego-2.020.1%1st Place
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4.34University of California at San Diego-1.700.1%1st Place
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5.47University of California at San Diego-2.320.1%1st Place
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5.97University of California at San Diego-2.600.1%1st Place
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4.08University of California at San Diego-1.640.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Lipps | 22.5% | 23.1% | 17.3% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 17.2% | 13.6% |
| Andrew Keller | 25.3% | 21.6% | 17.8% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 18.0% | 13.3% |
| Drake Coy | 10.6% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 6.6% |
| Michael Nodini | 7.0% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 17.5% | 23.0% |
| Maria Guinness | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 14.0% | 18.6% | 34.4% |
| Emma Kalway | 13.1% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.