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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-1.70+3.26vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-1.07+1.18vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.97-0.02vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-2.02+0.98vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-2.05+0.03vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-2.60-0.06vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-2.32-1.47vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.64-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26University of California at San Diego-1.700.1%1st Place
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3.18University of California at San Diego-1.070.2%1st Place
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2.98University of California at San Diego-0.970.3%1st Place
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4.98University of California at San Diego-2.020.1%1st Place
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5.03University of California at San Diego-2.050.1%1st Place
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5.94University of California at San Diego-2.600.1%1st Place
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5.53University of California at San Diego-2.320.1%1st Place
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4.11University of California at San Diego-1.640.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Coy | 11.9% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 6.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 22.1% | 21.8% | 16.0% | 16.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Keller | 26.9% | 20.1% | 18.6% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 17.0% | 16.7% | 13.6% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 16.5% | 17.7% | 13.7% |
| Maria Guinness | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 17.9% | 33.7% |
| Michael Nodini | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 18.3% | 24.4% |
| Emma Kalway | 12.7% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.