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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.48+0.67vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.53+2.24vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University-0.91+0.40vs Predicted
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4Williams College-1.63+0.30vs Predicted
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5Amherst College-1.69-0.53vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-0.58-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.67Boston University0.4854.6%1st Place
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4.24University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.535.7%1st Place
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3.4Wesleyan University-0.9111.8%1st Place
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4.3Williams College-1.636.0%1st Place
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4.47Amherst College-1.695.2%1st Place
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2.91University of Connecticut-0.5816.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Wiegand | 54.6% | 29.0% | 11.8% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Angelina Papa | 5.7% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 19.1% | 25.3% | 25.2% |
| Rory McClenahan | 11.8% | 17.8% | 23.1% | 21.8% | 16.8% | 8.8% |
| Charles Maier | 6.0% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 19.2% | 23.8% | 28.1% |
| Adrian Whitney | 5.2% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 16.8% | 23.4% | 34.2% |
| Samuel Oslovich | 16.6% | 25.9% | 24.4% | 19.1% | 10.2% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.