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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-1.70+3.25vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.97+1.00vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-1.64+1.23vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-2.05+1.05vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.07-1.78vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-2.32-0.56vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-2.60-0.99vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-2.02-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25University of California at San Diego-1.700.1%1st Place
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3.0University of California at San Diego-0.970.3%1st Place
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4.23University of California at San Diego-1.640.1%1st Place
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5.05University of California at San Diego-2.050.1%1st Place
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3.22University of California at San Diego-1.070.2%1st Place
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5.44University of California at San Diego-2.320.1%1st Place
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6.01University of California at San Diego-2.600.0%1st Place
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4.8University of California at San Diego-2.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Coy | 11.4% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 6.5% |
| Andrew Keller | 25.5% | 20.4% | 18.9% | 14.9% | 10.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Emma Kalway | 13.1% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 10.9% | 6.1% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 19.0% | 14.4% |
| Sean Lipps | 21.2% | 24.1% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Michael Nodini | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 15.9% | 16.5% | 23.0% |
| Maria Guinness | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 17.3% | 36.4% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 9.1% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.