← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at San Diego-0.97+1.94vs Predicted
-
2University of California at San Diego-1.07+1.22vs Predicted
-
3University of California at San Diego-2.05+2.00vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego-1.64+0.22vs Predicted
-
5University of California at San Diego-2.02-0.05vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego-1.70-1.70vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego-2.32-1.49vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego-2.60-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.94University of California at San Diego-0.970.3%1st Place
-
3.22University of California at San Diego-1.070.2%1st Place
-
5.0University of California at San Diego-2.050.1%1st Place
-
4.22University of California at San Diego-1.640.1%1st Place
-
4.95University of California at San Diego-2.020.1%1st Place
-
4.3University of California at San Diego-1.700.1%1st Place
-
5.51University of California at San Diego-2.320.1%1st Place
-
5.86University of California at San Diego-2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Keller | 26.3% | 22.2% | 19.1% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Sean Lipps | 21.9% | 20.5% | 18.1% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 15.5% |
| Emma Kalway | 12.3% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 6.5% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 13.4% |
| Drake Coy | 12.3% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 7.7% |
| Michael Nodini | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 19.1% | 24.1% |
| Maria Guinness | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 18.0% | 30.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.