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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-1.07+2.13vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-1.70+2.36vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-1.64+1.20vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.97-0.97vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-2.60+0.97vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-2.02-1.09vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-2.32-1.47vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-2.05-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13University of California at San Diego-1.070.2%1st Place
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4.36University of California at San Diego-1.700.1%1st Place
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4.2University of California at San Diego-1.640.1%1st Place
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3.03University of California at San Diego-0.970.2%1st Place
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5.97University of California at San Diego-2.600.0%1st Place
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4.91University of California at San Diego-2.020.1%1st Place
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5.53University of California at San Diego-2.320.1%1st Place
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4.88University of California at San Diego-2.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Lipps | 23.4% | 21.2% | 18.1% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Drake Coy | 11.1% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 7.7% |
| Emma Kalway | 13.0% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 6.0% |
| Andrew Keller | 23.8% | 23.7% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Maria Guinness | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 20.7% | 32.2% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 9.2% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 17.6% | 13.0% |
| Michael Nodini | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 18.8% | 24.8% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 8.9% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 17.9% | 12.9% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.